My random thoughts on regulatory reform and the market
The one thing we know is this: markets hate uncertainty. And after reading this CoStar piece about Dodd-Frank I can see why there is a lot of angst and uneasiness among some investors in the commercial real estate market. It is going to take time -- and a lot of manpower and legal analysis -- to sort through yet another behemoth set of laws, rules and regulations. While I am not a deal guy, here's what I am thinking, and I encourage you to critique me or even tell me I am dead wrong. Pricing and cap rates will have to be lower than they were to sustain any good returns on deals. If the days of what I liked to call "cowboy lending" are over, that is fine. I was never a big fan of it anyway as a lawyer. But we need to adjust to the fact that with lower LTVs on loans and stricter underwriting (including the requirement that lenders keep at least 5% of all their loans on the books as so-called "skin in the game") and more documentation (yay, lawyers!), this w